ATP tennis predict — Stefan Popovic vs Aleksandar Tolev

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Stefan Popovic

Serbia

53.07%

Aleksandar Tolev

Bulgaria

46.93%

Average Odds

1.06 / 7.83

Market probability

88.08% / 11.92%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1469.2 Elo 1422.1

1482.3 Elo (surface) 1412.2

8 Wins (Challenger) 1

8 Wins (surface) 1

7 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.042 Dominance ratio 1.000

630 Rank 1759

23.3 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefan Popovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Aleksandar Tolev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Popovic Aleksandar Tolev

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

66.6%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

59.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Popovic Aleksandar Tolev

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%

43.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%

53.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefan Popovic 0 – 0 Aleksandar Tolev

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Stefan Popovic #630

Aleksandar Tolev #1759

6-4 6-1

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

51 Service Points 54

38 First Serve In 33

27 First Serve Won 15

5 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.8

Stefan Popovic vs Aleksandar Tolev — Prediction