ATP tennis predict — Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Stefan Kozlov

USA

70.39%

Alan Magadan

Mexico

29.61%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.65

Market probability

64.79% / 35.21%

Why This Prediction?

Stefan Kozlov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1686 vs 1548), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1661 vs 1545) and a stronger return game (45.9% vs 39.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1685.5 Elo 1547.7

1661.0 Elo (surface) 1545.1

218 Wins (Challenger) 15

164 Wins (surface) 8

9 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.172 Dominance ratio 0.892

296 Rank 650

28.5 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stefan Kozlov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Kozlov Alan Magadan

1st Serve In %

64.3%

52.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

53.1%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.1%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.2%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stefan Kozlov Alan Magadan

Break Points Saved %

49.5%

36.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stefan Kozlov 1 – 1 Alan Magadan

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Alan Magadan #650

Stefan Kozlov #296

3-6 6-1 7-6

3 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 7

101 Service Points 94

63 First Serve In 56

35 First Serve Won 35

16 Second Serve Won 19

8 Break Points Saved 6

13 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Clay San Luis Potosi CH · 2026-03-30

R32

Alan Magadan

Stefan Kozlov #260

6-3 7-6(7)

7 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 0

87 Service Points 71

38 First Serve In 51

28 First Serve Won 33

29 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 5

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Cuernavaca CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Stefan Kozlov #265

Alan Magadan #818

6-4 6-4

7 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 1

67 Service Points 56

38 First Serve In 33

28 First Serve Won 23

15 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Stefan Kozlov — Last 10

Alan Magadan — Last 10