ATP tennis predict — Stan Wawrinka vs Dalibor Svrcina

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · 1. round 01:15

Predicted probability

Stan Wawrinka

Switzerland

49.49%

Dalibor Svrcina

Czech Republic

50.51%

Average Odds

2.56 / 1.47

Market probability

36.48% / 63.52%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1690.8 Elo 1683.5

1752.3 Elo (surface) 1496.9

85 Wins (Challenger) 136

21 Wins (surface) 50

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.233 Dominance ratio 0.892

125 Rank 114

41.4 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Stan Wawrinka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dalibor Svrcina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stan Wawrinka Dalibor Svrcina

1st Serve In %

59.7%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.7%

43.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

36.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Stan Wawrinka Dalibor Svrcina

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.6%

53.0%

Break Points Converted %

34.9%

47.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Stan Wawrinka 0 – 0 Dalibor Svrcina

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Stan Wawrinka #125

Dalibor Svrcina #114

7-6 7-6

3 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 96

54 First Serve In 54

38 First Serve Won 40

18 Second Serve Won 24

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Stan Wawrinka vs Dalibor Svrcina — Prediction