ATP tennis predict — Spencer Johnson vs Remy Bertola

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Spencer Johnson

USA

33.23%

Remy Bertola

Switzerland

66.77%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.87

Market probability

50.40% / 49.60%

Why This Prediction?

Remy Bertola is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1515), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1589 vs 1522) and more wins on hard courts (47 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1514.6 Elo 1664.3

1521.7 Elo (surface) 1589.5

5 Wins (Challenger) 101

5 Wins (surface) 47

5 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.926 Dominance ratio 1.010

682 Rank 179

23.5 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Spencer Johnson

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Remy Bertola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Spencer Johnson Remy Bertola

1st Serve In %

59.0%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.59

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.6%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Spencer Johnson Remy Bertola

Break Points Saved %

44.4%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

49.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Spencer Johnson 0 – 0 Remy Bertola

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-15

1. round

Spencer Johnson #682

Remy Bertola #179

6-1 6-4

6 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

55 Service Points 45

31 First Serve In 24

26 First Serve Won 17

14 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Spencer Johnson vs Remy Bertola — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Spencer Johnson — Last 10

Remy Bertola — Last 10