ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Khumoun Sultanov

ATP Hard Asian Games · R16

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

79.36%

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

20.64%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1853 vs 1571), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1814 vs 1572) and a stronger serve (68.0% vs 60.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1853.2 Elo 1571.1

1813.5 Elo (surface) 1571.7

96 Wins 7

73 Wins (surface) 6

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.219 Dominance ratio 0.961

158 Rank 439

28.8 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Khumoun Sultanov

1st Serve In %

56.0%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Khumoun Sultanov

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon and Khumoun Sultanov have never played each other.

Soon Woo Kwon vs Khumoun Sultanov — Prediction