ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Gavin Young

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

91.28%

Gavin Young

USA

8.72%

Average Odds

1.15 / 5.01

Market probability

81.33% / 18.67%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1766 vs 1439), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1771 vs 1454) and more wins on hard courts (129 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1766.4 Elo 1438.8

1770.7 Elo (surface) 1453.9

139 Wins (Challenger) 1

129 Wins (surface) 1

12 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.297 Dominance ratio 0.905

158 Rank 551

28.7 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Gavin Young

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Gavin Young

1st Serve In %

56.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.61

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Gavin Young

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 0 – 0 Gavin Young

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Soon Woo Kwon #158

Gavin Young #551

7-5 6-3

2 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 61

24 First Serve In 39

21 First Serve Won 27

21 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Soon Woo Kwon vs Gavin Young — Prediction