ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Edward Winter

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

74.00%

Edward Winter

Australia

26.00%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.45

Market probability

78.90% / 21.10%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1572), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1781 vs 1604) and more wins on hard courts (72 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1776.0 Elo 1572.3

1780.6 Elo (surface) 1604.0

95 Wins 3

72 Wins (surface) 3

10 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.969 Dominance ratio 0.682

272 Rank 680

28.6 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Edward Winter

1st Serve In %

56.0%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Edward Winter

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 0 – 0 Edward Winter

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-27

qualification - quarterfinal

Soon Woo Kwon #158

Edward Winter #391

7-5 6-2

4 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 58

35 First Serve In 36

27 First Serve Won 22

14 Second Serve Won 7

4 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.5

Soon Woo Kwon vs Edward Winter — Prediction