ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

73.80%

Dusan Lajovic

Serbia

26.20%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.60

Market probability

63.88% / 36.12%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1756 vs 1641), a higher Elo rating (1763 vs 1666) and a stronger return game (40.5% vs 36.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1763.5 Elo 1666.0

1755.6 Elo (surface) 1641.3

96 Wins 322

73 Wins (surface) 143

10 Last 15 form 8

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.069 Dominance ratio 0.870

150 Rank 167

28.7 Age 36.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Dusan Lajovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Dusan Lajovic

1st Serve In %

56.0%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

40.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Dusan Lajovic

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

60.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

28.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 2 – 0 Dusan Lajovic

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

Dusan Lajovic #167

Soon Woo Kwon #150

4-6 7-5 3-1

12 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 0

69 Service Points 57

48 First Serve In 45

37 First Serve Won 39

13 Second Serve Won 15

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

27 Winners 25

31 Unforced Errors 11

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Nur-Sultan · 2021-09-20

R16

Soon Woo Kwon #82

Dusan Lajovic #35

7-5 6-4

2 Aces 6

4 Double Faults 2

68 Service Points 71

44 First Serve In 47

33 First Serve Won 32

12 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Acapulco · 2020-02-24

R16

Soon Woo Kwon #76

Dusan Lajovic #24

7-6(2) 6-0

1 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 56

38 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 21

12 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 9