ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 17:00

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

74.45%

Andrea Guerrieri

Italy

25.55%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.59

Market probability

74.02% / 25.98%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1760 vs 1656), more wins on hard courts (73 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating (1758 vs 1683).

Player Comparison

1758.3 Elo 1683.2

1759.7 Elo (surface) 1656.3

143 Wins (Challenger) 55

133 Wins (surface) 15

12 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.155 Dominance ratio 1.062

152 Rank 189

28.7 Age 27.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Andrea Guerrieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Andrea Guerrieri

1st Serve In %

56.0%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

59.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

54.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Andrea Guerrieri

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 0 – 0 Andrea Guerrieri

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - quarterfinal

Soon Woo Kwon #152

Andrea Guerrieri #189

6-3 6-3

7 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 2

74 Service Points 53

39 First Serve In 32

27 First Serve Won 19

21 Second Serve Won 11

8 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.6

Soon Woo Kwon vs Andrea Guerrieri — Prediction