ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

92.02%

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Mexico

7.98%

Average Odds

1.05 / 9.69

Market probability

90.22% / 9.78%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1774 vs 1359), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1778 vs 1397) and a stronger serve (66.9% vs 56.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1774.1 Elo 1359.0

1778.1 Elo (surface) 1396.8

94 Wins 1

71 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.916 Dominance ratio 0.685

157 Rank 573

28.6 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

1st Serve In %

56.0%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

21.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

48.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 0 – 0 Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Soon Woo Kwon #272

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros #333

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 2

5 Double Faults 8

56 Service Points 58

22 First Serve In 27

21 First Serve Won 19

16 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 8

7 Break Points Faced 13

14 Winners 5

23 Unforced Errors 25

1.1 Average Odds 9.7

Soon Woo Kwon vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros — Prediction