ATP tennis predict — Soon Woo Kwon vs Aidan Kim

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

84.56%

Aidan Kim

USA

15.44%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.49

Market probability

73.47% / 26.53%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1769 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1774 vs 1484) and more wins on hard courts (73 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1769.4 Elo 1475.3

1774.1 Elo (surface) 1483.8

140 Wins (Challenger) 6

130 Wins (surface) 6

12 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.343 Dominance ratio 0.959

158 Rank 581

28.7 Age 21.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Aidan Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Aidan Kim

1st Serve In %

56.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.61

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.5%

54.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%

44.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Soon Woo Kwon Aidan Kim

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

80.0%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

49.0%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Soon Woo Kwon 0 – 0 Aidan Kim

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Soon Woo Kwon #153

Aidan Kim #584

3-6 6-2 6-2

3 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 6

89 Service Points 67

44 First Serve In 32

31 First Serve Won 20

22 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Soon Woo Kwon vs Aidan Kim — Prediction