ATP tennis predict — Simone Agostini vs Alejandro Juan Mano

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Simone Agostini

Italy

37.71%

Alejandro Juan Mano

Spain

62.29%

Average Odds

7.60 / 1.04

Market probability

12.04% / 87.96%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Juan Mano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1386 vs 1297), a stronger return game (43.0% vs 33.0% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.24).

Player Comparison

1297.0 Elo 1386.5

1255.2 Elo (surface) 1384.4

1 Wins (Challenger) 0

0 Wins (surface) 0

1 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.687 Dominance ratio 0.879

1773 Rank 623

29.5 Age 21.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Simone Agostini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Alejandro Juan Mano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Simone Agostini Alejandro Juan Mano

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

52.7%

70.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.4%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Simone Agostini Alejandro Juan Mano

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

39.1%

45.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Simone Agostini 0 – 0 Alejandro Juan Mano

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Alejandro Juan Mano #625

Simone Agostini #1772

6-0 6-0

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

6 First Serve Won 21

3 Second Serve Won 5

0 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 7.6

Simone Agostini vs Alejandro Juan Mano — Prediction