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Sidharth Rawat vs Aleksandre Bakshi — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:10

Predicted probability

Sidharth Rawat

India

34.74%

Aleksandre Bakshi

Georgia

65.26%

Average Odds

1.56  /  2.30

Market probability

59.59%  /  40.41%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandre Bakshi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1443 vs 1320), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1452 vs 1319) and better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1319.9 Elo 1442.5
1318.9 Elo (surface) 1451.7
53 Wins (Challenger) 22
52 Wins (surface) 22
4 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.931 Dominance ratio 0.804
536 Rank 730
33.3 Age 29.1
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sidharth Rawat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Aleksandre Bakshi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sidharth Rawat Aleksandre Bakshi

1st Serve In %

56.7%
60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%
68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%
45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%
31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.1%
52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%
54.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.7%
72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%
43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%
26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%
46.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sidharth Rawat Aleksandre Bakshi

Break Points Saved %

54.5%
54.2%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%
61.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
52.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%
30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sidharth Rawat 00 Aleksandre Bakshi

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Sidharth Rawat #536

Aleksandre Bakshi #730

6-3 6-3
7 Aces 4
1 Double Faults 9
45 Service Points 66
22 First Serve In 36
20 First Serve Won 23
13 Second Serve Won 12
1 Break Points Saved 5
2 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Sidharth Rawat — Last 10

L L W W L W L L L L

Aleksandre Bakshi — Last 10

L L L L L W L L W W