ATP tennis predict — Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 21:00

Predicted probability

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

35.07%

Miomir Kecmanovic

Serbia

64.93%

Average Odds

2.99 / 1.37

Market probability

31.42% / 68.58%

Why This Prediction?

Miomir Kecmanovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1772 vs 1617), a higher Elo rating (1751 vs 1706) and a stronger return game (46.9% vs 39.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1706.3 Elo 1750.8

1617.3 Elo (surface) 1771.9

40 Wins 211

29 Wins (surface) 137

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.198 Dominance ratio 0.992

90 Rank 66

29.1 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sho Shimabukuro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Miomir Kecmanovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro Miomir Kecmanovic

1st Serve In %

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro Miomir Kecmanovic

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.1%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.1%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

49.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sho Shimabukuro 0 – 1 Miomir Kecmanovic

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

1. round

Miomir Kecmanovic #66

Sho Shimabukuro #90

6-4 6-3

3 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 6

68 Service Points 55

36 First Serve In 24

25 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 2

21 Winners 9

36 Unforced Errors 20

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Hard Dallas · 2026-02-09

R32

Miomir Kecmanovic #66

Sho Shimabukuro #144

6-7(3) 6-3 7-6(3)

6 Aces 13

1 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 99

64 First Serve In 59

49 First Serve Won 49

24 Second Serve Won 23

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic — Prediction