ATP tennis predict — Sho Shimabukuro vs J J Wolf

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

41.66%

J J Wolf

USA

58.34%

Average Odds

1.71 / 1.85

Market probability

51.97% / 48.03%

Why This Prediction?

J J Wolf is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1774 vs 1627) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1714.6 Elo 1727.7

1626.6 Elo (surface) 1773.7

39 Wins 74

28 Wins (surface) 60

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.021 Dominance ratio 0.891

94 Rank 282

29.0 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sho Shimabukuro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

J J Wolf

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–5L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro J J Wolf

1st Serve In %

58.1%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

22.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro J J Wolf

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.1%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.1%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sho Shimabukuro 0 – 0 J J Wolf

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

J J Wolf #282

Sho Shimabukuro #94

6-3 3-6 7-5

3 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 4

99 Service Points 80

59 First Serve In 48

33 First Serve Won 34

22 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 8

29 Winners 15

41 Unforced Errors 33

1.9 Average Odds 1.7

Sho Shimabukuro vs J J Wolf — Prediction