ATP tennis predict — Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Dellien

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 04:40

Predicted probability

Sho Shimabukuro

Japan

74.39%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

25.61%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.82

Market probability

80.33% / 19.67%

Why This Prediction?

Sho Shimabukuro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1627 vs 1413), more wins on hard courts (103 vs 1) and a stronger serve (65.2% vs 58.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1714.6 Elo 1713.3

1626.6 Elo (surface) 1413.5

39 Wins 95

28 Wins (surface) 13

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.021 Dominance ratio 1.109

94 Rank 141

29.0 Age 33.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sho Shimabukuro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

58.1%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.6%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.1%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sho Shimabukuro Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.1%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.1%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sho Shimabukuro 0 – 0 Hugo Dellien

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-12

qualification - 1. round

Sho Shimabukuro #94

Hugo Dellien #141

6-3 6-1

3 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 5

46 Service Points 57

22 First Serve In 35

13 First Serve Won 20

18 Second Serve Won 5

1 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 10

15 Winners 10

19 Unforced Errors 32

1.2 Average Odds 4.8

Sho Shimabukuro vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction