ATP tennis predict — Sheng Tang vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - 1. round 08:00

Predicted probability

Sheng Tang

China

27.48%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

72.52%

Average Odds

3.51 / 1.27

Market probability

26.57% / 73.43%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Peliwo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1468 vs 1389), more wins on hard courts (100 vs 2) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1440 vs 1403).

Player Comparison

1389.1 Elo 1468.4

1402.7 Elo (surface) 1440.2

2 Wins (Challenger) 114

2 Wins (surface) 100

2 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.752 Dominance ratio 1.033

1894 Rank 554

26.6 Age 32.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sheng Tang

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sheng Tang Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

—

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.4%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sheng Tang Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

—

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

23.9%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sheng Tang 0 – 0 Filip Peliwo

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-08-30

qualification - 1. round

Filip Peliwo #560

Sheng Tang #1906

6-3 7-6

5 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 60

55 First Serve In 55

37 First Serve Won 45

10 Second Serve Won 3

6 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Sheng Tang vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction