ATP tennis predict — Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Nicolas Tepmahc

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando

Spain

74.82%

Nicolas Tepmahc

France

25.18%

Average Odds

1.21 / 3.76

Market probability

75.65% / 24.35%

Why This Prediction?

Sergio Callejon Hernando is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1514 vs 1369), more career match wins (15 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1408 vs 1377).

Player Comparison

1408.4 Elo 1377.1

1514.0 Elo (surface) 1369.2

15 Wins (Challenger) 1

9 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.765

412 Rank 608

21.8 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergio Callejon Hernando

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Nicolas Tepmahc

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergio Callejon Hernando Nicolas Tepmahc

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.0%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.2%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergio Callejon Hernando Nicolas Tepmahc

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.0%

48.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.7%

28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergio Callejon Hernando 0 – 0 Nicolas Tepmahc

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Sergio Callejon Hernando #413

Nicolas Tepmahc #617

7-5 6-1

0 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

63 Service Points 65

40 First Serve In 38

26 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Sergio Callejon Hernando vs Nicolas Tepmahc — Prediction