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Sergi Perez Contri vs Nicolas Barrientos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Nicolas Barrientos

Colombia

41.21%

Average Odds

1.41  /  2.64

Market probability

65.19%  /  34.81%

Why This Prediction?

Sergi Perez Contri is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (46.0% vs 37.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1522.7 Elo 1513.9
1514.8 Elo (surface) 1524.0
11 Wins (Challenger) 99
11 Wins (surface) 66
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.074 Dominance ratio 1.028
440 Rank 940
28.7 Age 39.4
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergi Perez Contri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Nicolas Barrientos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergi Perez Contri Nicolas Barrientos

1st Serve In %

—
65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
63.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
53.8%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.6%
66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%
58.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.0%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.6%
54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.09
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergi Perez Contri Nicolas Barrientos

Break Points Saved %

—
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

—
34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
60.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%
45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergi Perez Contri and Nicolas Barrientos have never played each other.

Sergi Perez Contri — Last 10

L L W L L W W W L W

Nicolas Barrientos — Last 10

L L W L W L L W W W