ATP tennis predict — Sergi Fita Juan vs John Sperle

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Sergi Fita Juan

Spain

21.32%

John Sperle

Germany

78.68%

Average Odds

3.42 / 1.20

Market probability

25.97% / 74.03%

Why This Prediction?

John Sperle is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1447 vs 1376), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1449 vs 1407) and more wins on clay courts (12 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1376.0 Elo 1447.1

1407.2 Elo (surface) 1449.3

0 Wins (Challenger) 14

0 Wins (surface) 12

0 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.716 Dominance ratio 1.012

1027 Rank 708

None Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergi Fita Juan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

John Sperle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergi Fita Juan John Sperle

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

70.9%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.8%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

35.1%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.08

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergi Fita Juan John Sperle

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

55.8%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

23.5%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergi Fita Juan 0 – 0 John Sperle

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

John Sperle #692

Sergi Fita Juan #1030

6-3 6-1

0 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

20 First Serve Won 22

8 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.4

Sergi Fita Juan vs John Sperle — Prediction