ATP tennis predict — Sergey Fomin vs Maxim Zhukov

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

53.03%

Maxim Zhukov

Russia

46.97%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.40

Market probability

61.07% / 38.93%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1415.1 Elo 1437.4

1490.5 Elo (surface) 1429.4

53 Wins (Challenger) 16

27 Wins (surface) 16

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.135 Dominance ratio 0.951

305 Rank 531

25.5 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Maxim Zhukov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Maxim Zhukov

1st Serve In %

64.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.50

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Maxim Zhukov

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

38.0%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergey Fomin 0 – 0 Maxim Zhukov

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Sergey Fomin #305

Maxim Zhukov #531

7-5 4-1

7 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

41 Service Points 60

20 First Serve In 30

16 First Serve Won 17

19 Second Serve Won 17

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Sergey Fomin vs Maxim Zhukov — Prediction