ATP tennis predict — Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · QF 08:00

Predicted probability

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

53.70%

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

46.30%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.03

Market probability

53.99% / 46.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1457.7 Elo 1576.0

1532.3 Elo (surface) 1603.6

55 Wins (Challenger) 49

29 Wins (surface) 49

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.318 Dominance ratio 0.927

305 Rank 415

25.5 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Masamichi Imamura

1st Serve In %

64.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Masamichi Imamura

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.0%

51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergey Fomin 0 – 0 Masamichi Imamura

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-14

QF

Sergey Fomin #305

Masamichi Imamura #415

6-2 6-1

2 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

46 Service Points 36

24 First Serve In 17

20 First Serve Won 13

15 Second Serve Won 5

2 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamura — Prediction