ATP tennis predict — Sergey Fomin vs Giuseppe La Vela

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

70.73%

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

29.27%

Average Odds

1.39 / 2.80

Market probability

66.83% / 33.17%

Why This Prediction?

Sergey Fomin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1437 vs 1359), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1465 vs 1351) and more career match wins (53 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1436.8 Elo 1359.1

1465.1 Elo (surface) 1351.5

53 Wins (Challenger) 4

26 Wins (surface) 4

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 0.782

302 Rank 498

25.5 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sergey Fomin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Giuseppe La Vela

1st Serve In %

64.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.50

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.8%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sergey Fomin Giuseppe La Vela

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.5%

53.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.0%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sergey Fomin 0 – 0 Giuseppe La Vela

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Giuseppe La Vela #674

Sergey Fomin #320

1-6 6-1 6-3

3 Aces 4

8 Double Faults 3

62 Service Points 60

34 First Serve In 31

27 First Serve Won 23

8 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Sergey Fomin vs Giuseppe La Vela — Prediction