ATP tennis predict — Seong Chan Hong vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Seong Chan Hong

South Korea

39.52%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

60.48%

Average Odds

2.69 / 1.43

Market probability

34.71% / 65.29%

Why This Prediction?

Nikoloz Basilashvili is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1645 vs 1521), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1611 vs 1546) and more wins on hard courts (141 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1521.4 Elo 1645.2

1546.1 Elo (surface) 1610.8

14 Wins 246

13 Wins (surface) 141

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.979 Dominance ratio 0.963

- Rank 132

29.2 Age 34.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Seong Chan Hong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Seong Chan Hong Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

59.3%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

46.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.1%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.8%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Seong Chan Hong Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

63.4%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.4%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.6%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Seong Chan Hong 0 – 0 Nikoloz Basilashvili

Hard US Open · 2026-08-26

qualification - 1. round

Seong Chan Hong #-

Nikoloz Basilashvili #132

6-3 7-6

5 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 7

77 Service Points 91

45 First Serve In 45

33 First Serve Won 28

17 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 8

4 Break Points Faced 11

10 Winners 20

16 Unforced Errors 43

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Seong Chan Hong vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction