ATP tennis predict — Semen Pankin vs Marat Sharipov

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Semen Pankin

Russia

17.80%

Marat Sharipov

Russia

82.20%

Average Odds

5.46 / 1.13

Market probability

17.15% / 82.85%

Why This Prediction?

Marat Sharipov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1826 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1828 vs 1469) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1475.4 Elo 1826.4

1469.3 Elo (surface) 1828.4

9 Wins (Challenger) 62

9 Wins (surface) 53

6 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.904 Dominance ratio 1.005

425 Rank 238

27.1 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Semen Pankin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Marat Sharipov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Semen Pankin Marat Sharipov

1st Serve In %

—

52.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

14.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.50

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.0%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.97

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Semen Pankin Marat Sharipov

Break Points Saved %

—

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.7%

68.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Semen Pankin and Marat Sharipov have never played each other.

Semen Pankin vs Marat Sharipov — Prediction