ATP tennis predict — Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 10:35

Predicted probability

Semen Pankin

Russia

46.18%

Dominik Palan

Czech Republic

53.82%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.38

Market probability

60.87% / 39.13%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1524.8 Elo 1481.9

1540.9 Elo (surface) 1524.1

8 Wins (Challenger) 41

8 Wins (surface) 41

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.945 Dominance ratio 1.015

421 Rank 498

26.9 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Semen Pankin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dominik Palan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Semen Pankin Dominik Palan

1st Serve In %

—

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

38.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.9%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.4%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.8%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Semen Pankin Dominik Palan

Break Points Saved %

—

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.4%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Semen Pankin 0 – 0 Dominik Palan

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-10

1. round

Semen Pankin #421

Dominik Palan #498

6-1 6-4

2 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 8

44 Service Points 51

22 First Serve In 25

18 First Serve Won 18

15 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Semen Pankin vs Dominik Palan — Prediction