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Sebastian Sorger vs Sandro Kopp — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Sebastian Sorger

Austria

12.22%

Sandro Kopp

Austria

87.78%

Average Odds

2.58  /  1.46

Market probability

36.14%  /  63.86%

Why This Prediction?

Sandro Kopp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1337), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1625 vs 1367) and more wins on clay courts (41 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1336.6 Elo 1612.2
1366.7 Elo (surface) 1624.8
4 Wins (Challenger) 50
4 Wins (surface) 41
3 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.757 Dominance ratio 1.070
476 Rank 286
20.6 Age 26.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Sorger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Sandro Kopp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Sorger Sandro Kopp

1st Serve In %

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.7%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.7%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%
54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%
32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%
43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.23
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Sorger Sandro Kopp

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.3%
61.0%

Break Points Converted %

32.8%
43.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Sorger 00 Sandro Kopp

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-03
6-1 6-1
2 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 4
35 Service Points 47
26 First Serve In 29
21 First Serve Won 14
7 Second Serve Won 6
0 Break Points Saved 3
0 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Sebastian Sorger — Last 10

L L W L W L L L L L

Sandro Kopp — Last 10

L L L L W W W L W L