ATP tennis predict — Sebastian Ofner vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Sebastian Ofner

Austria

51.06%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

48.94%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.73

Market probability

46.13% / 53.87%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1651.2 Elo 1577.9

1655.5 Elo (surface) 1645.8

182 Wins (Challenger) 85

77 Wins (surface) 64

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.984 Dominance ratio 0.941

125 Rank 195

30.3 Age 22.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Ofner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Ofner Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

58.1%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.2%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.0%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.5%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.8%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Ofner Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

40.6%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

55.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

46.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Ofner 0 – 0 Edas Butvilas

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Edas Butvilas #195

Sebastian Ofner #125

2-6 6-0 3-0

2 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 1

45 Service Points 50

26 First Serve In 23

12 First Serve Won 18

10 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Sebastian Ofner vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction