ATP tennis predict — Sebastian Gorzny vs Yu Hsiou Hsu

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

34.02%

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

65.98%

Average Odds

3.00 / 1.35

Market probability

31.03% / 68.97%

Why This Prediction?

Yu Hsiou Hsu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1638 vs 1529), more wins on hard courts (86 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating (1600 vs 1521).

Player Comparison

1521.1 Elo 1599.6

1529.0 Elo (surface) 1638.2

3 Wins (Challenger) 95

3 Wins (surface) 86

3 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.129 Dominance ratio 1.102

876 Rank 241

22.5 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Yu Hsiou Hsu

1st Serve In %

62.4%

68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Yu Hsiou Hsu

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gorzny 0 – 0 Yu Hsiou Hsu

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Sebastian Gorzny #876

Yu Hsiou Hsu #241

3-6 6-1 6-2

1 Aces 9

1 Double Faults 5

73 Service Points 79

43 First Serve In 46

26 First Serve Won 31

17 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3 Average Odds 1.4

Sebastian Gorzny vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Prediction