ATP tennis predict — Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · R16 01:25

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

22.00%

Nishesh Basavareddy

USA

78.00%

Average Odds

4.53 / 1.18

Market probability

20.67% / 79.33%

Why This Prediction?

Nishesh Basavareddy is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1885 vs 1699), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1817 vs 1666) and more wins on hard courts (62 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1698.6 Elo 1884.6

1665.6 Elo (surface) 1817.2

6 Wins (Challenger) 73

6 Wins (surface) 62

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.024 Dominance ratio 1.055

484 Rank 151

22.6 Age 21.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Nishesh Basavareddy

1st Serve In %

62.4%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

63.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Nishesh Basavareddy

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gorzny 0 – 0 Nishesh Basavareddy

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Sebastian Gorzny #484

Nishesh Basavareddy #151

6-2 6-4

7 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 19

8 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 7

4 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.5 Average Odds 1.2

Sebastian Gorzny vs Nishesh Basavareddy — Prediction