ATP tennis predict — Sebastian Gorzny vs Gavin Young

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

58.22%

Gavin Young

USA

41.78%

Average Odds

1.75 / 1.98

Market probability

53.08% / 46.92%

Why This Prediction?

Sebastian Gorzny is the favorite because he has better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1), more career match wins (2 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1503 vs 1495).

Player Comparison

1502.7 Elo 1494.9

1500.2 Elo (surface) 1513.5

2 Wins (Challenger) 1

2 Wins (surface) 1

2 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.954 Dominance ratio 0.925

955 Rank 564

22.5 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Gavin Young

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Gavin Young

1st Serve In %

62.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.43

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Gavin Young

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gorzny 0 – 0 Gavin Young

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Sebastian Gorzny #955

Gavin Young #564

5-7 7-5 6-3

7 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 3

112 Service Points 100

67 First Serve In 63

50 First Serve Won 43

23 Second Serve Won 17

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Sebastian Gorzny vs Gavin Young — Prediction