ATP tennis predict — Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojo

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · R16 01:35

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

25.13%

Borna Gojo

Croatia

74.87%

Average Odds

3.13 / 1.33

Market probability

29.82% / 70.18%

Why This Prediction?

Borna Gojo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1742 vs 1592), a higher Elo rating (1684 vs 1580) and more wins on hard courts (140 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1579.7 Elo 1683.6

1591.5 Elo (surface) 1741.8

4 Wins (Challenger) 176

4 Wins (surface) 140

4 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.076 Dominance ratio 1.260

876 Rank 163

22.5 Age 28.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Borna Gojo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Borna Gojo

1st Serve In %

62.4%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.5%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.76

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.3%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

78.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.0%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.7%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gorzny Borna Gojo

Break Points Saved %

66.2%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.5%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.3%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

29.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gorzny 0 – 1 Borna Gojo

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Sebastian Gorzny #876

Borna Gojo #163

6-4 2-6 7-6

8 Aces 7

9 Double Faults 6

114 Service Points 90

57 First Serve In 53

40 First Serve Won 36

28 Second Serve Won 22

11 Break Points Saved 4

15 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Borna Gojo #169

Sebastian Gorzny #955

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 0

55 Service Points 41

26 First Serve In 25

21 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojo — Prediction