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Sebastian Gima vs Pedro Vives Marcos — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gima

Romania

36.56%

Average Odds

3.22  /  1.30

Market probability

28.76%  /  71.24%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Vives Marcos is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1632 vs 1490), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1634 vs 1531) and a stronger return game (42.6% vs 36.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1490.2 Elo 1632.0
1531.4 Elo (surface) 1633.7
37 Wins (Challenger) 20
34 Wins (surface) 8
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.806 Dominance ratio 1.057
589 Rank 542
24.4 Age 25.5
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Pedro Vives Marcos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gima Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.5%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.9%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.5%
49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%
49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.14
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gima Pedro Vives Marcos

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

44.0%
60.3%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%
43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gima and Pedro Vives Marcos have never played each other.

Sebastian Gima — Last 10

L W W L L W L W L W

Pedro Vives Marcos — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W W