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Sebastian Gima vs Jonas Forejtek — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Sebastian Gima

Romania

44.92%

Jonas Forejtek

Czech Republic

55.08%

Average Odds

3.70  /  1.25

Market probability

25.25%  /  74.75%

Why This Prediction?

Jonas Forejtek is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1586 vs 1506), a stronger return game (45.1% vs 36.1% of return points won) and more aces per game (0.14 vs 0.06).

Player Comparison

1505.9 Elo 1586.2
1552.9 Elo (surface) 1552.9
37 Wins (Challenger) 124
34 Wins (surface) 75
6 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.806 Dominance ratio 1.056
605 Rank 433
24.4 Age 25.5
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Gima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Jonas Forejtek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gima Jonas Forejtek

1st Serve In %

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

18.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.5%
63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.9%
64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.5%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%
36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.6%
56.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.14
0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Gima Jonas Forejtek

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

26.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.0%
65.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%
45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Gima 11 Jonas Forejtek

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-22
6-4 4-6 6-3
1 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
35 First Serve Won 46
18 Second Serve Won 14
7 Break Points Saved 4
11 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.2 Average Odds 3.7
Clay Bratislava CH · 2024-06-10
7-6(1) 3-6 6-4
6 Aces 8
1 Double Faults 6
97 Service Points 106
58 First Serve In 61
47 First Serve Won 47
18 Second Serve Won 19
3 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Split CH · 2024-04-08
4 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 3
46 Service Points 50
33 First Serve In 23
27 First Serve Won 15
7 Second Serve Won 9
1 Break Points Saved 3
1 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Sebastian Gima — Last 10

L W W L L W L W L W

Jonas Forejtek — Last 10

W L L L W L L L L L