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Sebastian Dominko vs Daniel Masur — Prediction

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Sebastian Dominko

Slovenia

26.28%

Daniel Masur

Germany

73.72%

Average Odds

2.07  /  1.68

Market probability

44.80%  /  55.20%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Masur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1638 vs 1431), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1647 vs 1567) and more wins on hard courts (142 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1431.3 Elo 1637.7
1567.0 Elo (surface) 1646.7
4 Wins (Challenger) 223
2 Wins (surface) 142
4 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.001 Dominance ratio 1.034
560 Rank 380
23.4 Age 31.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sebastian Dominko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Daniel Masur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Dominko Daniel Masur

1st Serve In %

60.8%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.7%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%
44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.82
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.79
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sebastian Dominko Daniel Masur

Break Points Saved %

52.6%
64.9%

Break Points Converted %

38.5%
40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.2%
57.6%

Break Points Converted %

30.2%
27.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sebastian Dominko and Daniel Masur have never played each other.

Sebastian Dominko — Last 10

L L W W L L L W W L

Daniel Masur — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W