ATP tennis predict — Sean Cuenin vs Max Alcala Gurri

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Sean Cuenin

France

17.57%

Max Alcala Gurri

Spain

82.43%

Average Odds

2.00 / 1.74

Market probability

46.52% / 53.48%

Why This Prediction?

Max Alcala Gurri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1433), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1704 vs 1417) and more wins on clay courts (53 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1432.6 Elo 1669.2

1417.0 Elo (surface) 1704.1

6 Wins (Challenger) 53

3 Wins (surface) 53

4 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.744 Dominance ratio 1.241

279 Rank 177

22.5 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sean Cuenin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Max Alcala Gurri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sean Cuenin Max Alcala Gurri

1st Serve In %

76.0%

65.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.1%

52.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.4%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.08

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.52

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

67.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.2%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sean Cuenin Max Alcala Gurri

Break Points Saved %

67.9%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.6%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sean Cuenin 0 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Max Alcala Gurri #177

Sean Cuenin #279

4-6 6-4 3-0

3 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 3

77 Service Points 81

56 First Serve In 67

35 First Serve Won 39

5 Second Serve Won 8

7 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2

Sean Cuenin vs Max Alcala Gurri — Prediction