ATP tennis predict — Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Ugo Blanchet

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

37.27%

Ugo Blanchet

France

62.73%

Average Odds

1.91 / 1.79

Market probability

48.38% / 51.62%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1734 vs 1633), a higher Elo rating (1681 vs 1645) and a stronger serve (65.0% vs 59.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1644.9 Elo 1680.5

1633.1 Elo (surface) 1734.0

60 Wins (Challenger) 79

40 Wins (surface) 44

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.956 Dominance ratio 0.993

332 Rank 331

23.1 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Ugo Blanchet

1st Serve In %

61.7%

52.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Ugo Blanchet

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 0 Ugo Blanchet

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332

Ugo Blanchet #331

6-4 6-4

5 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 28

14 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction