ATP tennis predict — Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

33.63%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Norway

66.37%

Average Odds

2.80 / 1.40

Market probability

33.33% / 66.67%

Why This Prediction?

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1607 vs 1515), a stronger serve (69.0% vs 60.4% of service points won) and a stronger return game (43.7% vs 36.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1535.6 Elo 1588.5

1515.2 Elo (surface) 1606.7

55 Wins (Challenger) 50

18 Wins (surface) 19

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.065 Dominance ratio 0.991

268 Rank 131

23.0 Age 19.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

1st Serve In %

61.7%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 1 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #268

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer #131

7-6 6-3

3 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 72

48 First Serve In 41

36 First Serve Won 31

10 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Tampere CH · 2025-07-21

F

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer #253

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #249

7-6(5) 6-7(2) 6-2

3 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 7

100 Service Points 125

59 First Serve In 66

40 First Serve Won 41

26 Second Serve Won 30

1 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Prediction