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Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.95  /  1.78

Market probability

47.72%  /  52.28%

Why This Prediction?

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (63.6% vs 57.4% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1564 vs 1545) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1563.7 Elo 1544.9
1530.5 Elo (surface) 1605.1
58 Wins (Challenger) 27
38 Wins (surface) 16
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.038 Dominance ratio 0.887
332 Rank 264
23.1 Age 23.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

61.7%
63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%
41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%
39.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%
61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%
66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%
40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

66.3%
60.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%
25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%
45.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 00 Michele Ribecai

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-02
3-6 6-2 6-2
9 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 6
80 Service Points 72
49 First Serve In 37
34 First Serve Won 28
9 Second Serve Won 17
4 Break Points Saved 5
10 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Last 10

W W W W W L W L W W

Michele Ribecai — Last 10

L L L L W L W W W L