ATP tennis predict — Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · R16 13:00

Predicted probability

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

26.58%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

73.42%

Average Odds

2.86 / 1.38

Market probability

32.55% / 67.45%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1788 vs 1627), a higher Elo rating (1814 vs 1642) and more wins on hard courts (13 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1642.5 Elo 1813.8

1626.7 Elo (surface) 1788.4

59 Wins (Challenger) 139

39 Wins (surface) 125

8 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.956 Dominance ratio 1.039

332 Rank 152

23.1 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

61.7%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 0 – 1 Mark Lajal

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Mark Lajal #152

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332

6-7 6-3 6-4

8 Aces 6

9 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 46

26 Second Serve Won 19

7 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.9

Hard Saint-Tropez CH · 2025-09-15

R32

Mark Lajal #156

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #208

6-2 6-3

4 Aces 4

7 Double Faults 2

55 Service Points 40

35 First Serve In 23

31 First Serve Won 16

7 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Mark Lajal — Prediction