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Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.63  /  2.17

Market probability

57.11%  /  42.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1532.8 Elo 1578.5
1479.4 Elo (surface) 1620.5
56 Wins (Challenger) 9
36 Wins (surface) 7
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.076 Dominance ratio 0.869
332 Rank 491
23.1 Age 20.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Izan Almazan Valiente

1st Serve In %

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.9%
58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%
69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%
46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Izan Almazan Valiente

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%
58.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%
48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 00 Izan Almazan Valiente

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - 1. round

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #332

Izan Almazan Valiente #491

3-6 6-4 6-4
2 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 4
94 Service Points 81
55 First Serve In 48
39 First Serve Won 35
24 Second Serve Won 18
4 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Last 10

W W W W W L W L W W

Izan Almazan Valiente — Last 10

W W W L W W W L W L