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Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna vs Adam Martin Espinar — Prediction

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.03  /  11.78

Market probability

91.96%  /  8.04%

Why This Prediction?

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1461 vs 1411), more career match wins (139 vs 0) and more wins on clay courts (129 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1461.3 Elo 1411.4
1487.9 Elo (surface) 1500
139 Wins (Challenger) 0
129 Wins (surface) 0
8 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.034 Dominance ratio 0.599
434 Rank -
27.1 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Adam Martin Espinar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Adam Martin Espinar

1st Serve In %

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%
57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%
60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%
17.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.1%
50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Adam Martin Espinar

Break Points Saved %

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.1%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 00 Adam Martin Espinar

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-06
6-3 7-6
11 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 0
70 Service Points 67
41 First Serve In 38
34 First Serve Won 26
15 Second Serve Won 18
2 Break Points Saved 4
2 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 11.8

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L

Adam Martin Espinar — Last 2

L L