ATP tennis predict — Samuele Pieri vs Martin Krumich

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

46.33%

Martin Krumich

Czech Republic

53.67%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.49

Market probability

39.73% / 60.27%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1639.1 Elo 1663.1

1659.1 Elo (surface) 1650.2

21 Wins (Challenger) 77

21 Wins (surface) 65

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.913 Dominance ratio 0.793

398 Rank 254

24.6 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Martin Krumich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–8L · 57.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Martin Krumich

1st Serve In %

—

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

43.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

54.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

39.6%

21.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.1%

38.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Martin Krumich

Break Points Saved %

—

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

32.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.0%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.7%

18.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri 0 – 1 Martin Krumich

Clay Braunschweig challenger · 2026-07-07

1. round

Martin Krumich #282

Samuele Pieri #406

7-5 4-6 6-3

1 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 0

96 Service Points 102

54 First Serve In 69

39 First Serve Won 37

19 Second Serve Won 17

3 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Samuele Pieri vs Martin Krumich — Prediction