ATP tennis predict — Samuele Pieri vs Giuseppe La Vela

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

62.86%

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

37.14%

Average Odds

1.35 / 2.97

Market probability

68.75% / 31.25%

Why This Prediction?

Samuele Pieri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1448 vs 1408), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1456 vs 1404) and a lighter recent match load (17 vs 23 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1448.1 Elo 1408.2

1455.6 Elo (surface) 1404.5

13 Wins (Challenger) 5

13 Wins (surface) 5

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 0.814

286 Rank 674

24.4 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

45.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Giuseppe La Vela

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

53.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri 0 – 0 Giuseppe La Vela

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-27

qualification - round of 16

Samuele Pieri #400

Giuseppe La Vela #497

6-3 2-6 6-2

1 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 1

71 Service Points 58

41 First Serve In 42

28 First Serve Won 33

16 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 3.0

Samuele Pieri vs Giuseppe La Vela — Prediction