ATP tennis predict — Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Lee

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · R16 14:00

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

41.78%

Gerard Campana Lee

South Korea

58.22%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.86

Market probability

50.13% / 49.87%

Why This Prediction?

Gerard Campana Lee is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1579 vs 1517), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1568 vs 1524) and more wins on clay courts (70 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1517.1 Elo 1579.3

1524.2 Elo (surface) 1568.5

16 Wins (Challenger) 71

16 Wins (surface) 70

6 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.942 Dominance ratio 0.992

386 Rank 585

24.4 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Gerard Campana Lee

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Gerard Campana Lee

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Gerard Campana Lee

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri 1 – 0 Gerard Campana Lee

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Gerard Campana Lee #585

Samuele Pieri #386

5-7 7-5 6-1

0 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 6

92 Service Points 121

48 First Serve In 69

26 First Serve Won 47

22 Second Serve Won 21

9 Break Points Saved 6

16 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Zadar CH · 2026-03-16

Q2

Samuele Pieri #494

Gerard Campana Lee #604

6-4 5-7 6-4

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

89 Service Points 91

53 First Serve In 59

39 First Serve Won 42

23 Second Serve Won 20

2 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Lee — Prediction