ATP tennis predict — Samuele Pieri vs Federico Zeballos

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

70.84%

Federico Zeballos

Bolivia

29.16%

Average Odds

1.12 / 5.43

Market probability

82.90% / 17.10%

Why This Prediction?

Samuele Pieri is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1494 vs 1381), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1500 vs 1349) and fewer double faults per game (0.11 vs 0.20).

Player Comparison

1493.8 Elo 1380.6

1500 Elo (surface) 1349.1

16 Wins (Challenger) 40

0 Wins (surface) 12

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.939 Dominance ratio 0.851

386 Rank 1234

24.4 Age 38.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Federico Zeballos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Federico Zeballos

1st Serve In %

—

57.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Federico Zeballos

Break Points Saved %

—

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

65.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

31.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri 0 – 0 Federico Zeballos

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Federico Zeballos #1234

Samuele Pieri #386

3-6 6-3 6-4

7 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 6

90 Service Points 111

47 First Serve In 69

33 First Serve Won 51

28 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

5.4 Average Odds 1.1

Samuele Pieri vs Federico Zeballos — Prediction