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Samuele Pieri vs Carlos Taberner — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

18.68%

Carlos Taberner

Spain

81.32%

Average Odds

3.71  /  1.23

Market probability

24.90%  /  75.10%

Why This Prediction?

Carlos Taberner is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1752 vs 1532), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1781 vs 1558) and more wins on clay courts (244 vs 18).

Player Comparison

1531.9 Elo 1751.9
1558.0 Elo (surface) 1781.2
18 Wins (Challenger) 260
18 Wins (surface) 244
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.913 Dominance ratio 1.091
398 Rank 376
24.6 Age 29.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Carlos Taberner

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Carlos Taberner

1st Serve In %

—
61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
49.6%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.3%
61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%
62.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.2%
52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.8%
48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.15
0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Carlos Taberner

Break Points Saved %

—
47.0%

Break Points Converted %

—
39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.7%
43.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.4%
33.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri and Carlos Taberner have never played each other.

Samuele Pieri — Last 10

W L L W L L W L W W

Carlos Taberner — Last 10

W L W W W L L L L W