ATP tennis predict — Samuele Pieri vs Andrej Martin

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Samuele Pieri

Italy

37.87%

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

62.13%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.86

Market probability

50.82% / 49.18%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Martin is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1622 vs 1495), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1616 vs 1524) and more wins on clay courts (289 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1495.4 Elo 1622.1

1523.7 Elo (surface) 1615.6

17 Wins (Challenger) 336

17 Wins (surface) 289

6 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.913 Dominance ratio 1.329

395 Rank 371

24.6 Age 37.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuele Pieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Andrej Martin

1st Serve In %

—

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.6%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

36.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.0%

58.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.16

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuele Pieri Andrej Martin

Break Points Saved %

—

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.9%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

46.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuele Pieri and Andrej Martin have never played each other.

Samuele Pieri vs Andrej Martin — Prediction