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Samuel Heredia vs John Echeverria — Prediction

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Samuel Heredia

Colombia

66.11%

John Echeverria

Spain

33.89%

Average Odds

3.62  /  1.26

Market probability

25.82%  /  74.18%

Why This Prediction?

Samuel Heredia is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1475 vs 1352), a stronger return game (43.8% vs 37.1% of return points won) and a stronger serve (64.5% vs 59.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1475.4 Elo 1352.0
1422.7 Elo (surface) 1373.4
11 Wins (Challenger) 8
1 Wins (surface) 8
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.232 Dominance ratio 0.909
623 Rank 538
20.1 Age 24.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuel Heredia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

John Echeverria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuel Heredia John Echeverria

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.4%
60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%
65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%
49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.2%
32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.6%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuel Heredia John Echeverria

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

65.5%
53.6%

Break Points Converted %

31.1%
41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuel Heredia 00 John Echeverria

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Samuel Heredia #644

John Echeverria #566

6-4 7-6
9 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 1
82 Service Points 69
57 First Serve In 47
42 First Serve Won 36
15 Second Serve Won 13
6 Break Points Saved 1
6 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Samuel Heredia — Last 10

L L W L L L W W L W

John Echeverria — Last 10

L L L W L L L L L W