ATP tennis predict — Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Samuel Heredia

Colombia

45.74%

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

54.26%

Average Odds

3.43 / 1.22

Market probability

26.24% / 73.76%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1463.1 Elo 1558.4

1504.5 Elo (surface) 1562.8

14 Wins (Challenger) 55

12 Wins (surface) 52

7 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.923 Dominance ratio 0.992

655 Rank 340

20.3 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Samuel Heredia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuel Heredia Eduardo Ribeiro

1st Serve In %

—

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.06

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.1%

68.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

54.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

35.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.4%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Samuel Heredia Eduardo Ribeiro

Break Points Saved %

—

68.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.1%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

30.2%

29.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Samuel Heredia 1 – 0 Eduardo Ribeiro

Clay Quito challenger · 2026-07-02

R16

Samuel Heredia #727

Eduardo Ribeiro #375

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 6

6 Double Faults 2

58 Service Points 71

29 First Serve In 49

22 First Serve Won 33

17 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.6 Average Odds 1.2

Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro — Prediction